Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.235715 0.272238 0.312350 0.359645 0.413862 0.474049 0.545914
2024-10-27 0.175686 0.222395 0.278332 0.350155 0.439839 0.548047 0.688453
2024-11-03 0.142796 0.196502 0.266073 0.362558 0.492664 0.661785 0.898104
2024-11-10 0.118672 0.176415 0.256835 0.376543 0.549717 0.790611 1.150614
2024-11-17 0.096316 0.153896 0.239688 0.376068 0.586608 0.898341 1.393841
2024-11-24 0.078875 0.134816 0.223571 0.373539 0.619395 1.004957 1.653512
2024-12-01 0.065710 0.119624 0.210327 0.372538 0.653691 1.118641 1.942601
2024-12-08 0.055767 0.107708 0.200019 0.374084 0.691811 1.243735 2.270120
2024-12-15 0.048816 0.099651 0.194746 0.383132 0.743936 1.399886 2.675264
2024-12-22 0.041773 0.089925 0.184523 0.380961 0.774796 1.522398 3.038546
2024-12-29 0.037174 0.084110 0.180650 0.390132 0.828394 1.694377 3.520553
2025-01-05 0.031983 0.075963 0.170548 0.384732 0.851679 1.810749 3.910745
2025-01-12 0.028456 0.070882 0.166195 0.391210 0.901859 1.990882 4.464027
2025-01-19 0.024227 0.063284 0.154927 0.380429 0.912957 2.091667 4.866653
2025-01-26 0.022148 0.060472 0.154107 0.393538 0.980183 2.324056 5.594716
2025-02-02 0.020407 0.058152 0.154035 0.408450 1.054237 2.583050 6.423804
2025-02-09 0.018092 0.053807 0.148128 0.407783 1.090422 2.760025 7.088326
2025-02-16 0.016002 0.049620 0.141832 0.404946 1.120681 2.927422 7.755835
2025-02-23 0.014263 0.046058 0.136533 0.403796 1.155148 3.110409 8.490779
2025-03-02 0.012848 0.043152 0.132501 0.405421 1.197403 3.319593 9.325580
2025-03-09 0.011864 0.041370 0.131367 0.415173 1.263957 3.602397 10.398835
2025-03-16 0.010630 0.038498 0.126444 0.412806 1.295506 3.795875 11.258666
2025-03-23 0.009867 0.037036 0.125578 0.422706 1.364989 4.104629 12.487822